I'm alone against three, so surviving the day lynch is nearly impossible unless they split votes. Tonight's kill matters most — Tim solved the puzzle and drove their read, so eliminating him weakens their case the most, leaving Trae and the more discredited Palmer to potentially disagree on who to lynch.

My best shot is stoking distrust between Trae and Palmer tomorrow — if Trae pushes Palmer while Palmer votes elsewhere and I add my vote to Palmer, that creates a tie-execution scenario that leaves it 1v1, which would actually swing the win my way.


Explanation: Deducing remaining mafia among two alive players after eliminating known roles and confirming prior mafia kill.Analyzing Day 4 vote distribution to infer the remaining mafia among the three alive players.


Deducing remaining mafia among two alive players after eliminating known roles and confirming prior mafia kill.Analyzing Day 4 vote distribution to infer the remaining mafia among the three alive players.


Trae final day.

Moxie mafia confirms the solve. Day4 tally was Palmer 2 (Michael, Moxie) and Moxie 3 (Tim, Trae, Palmer). Palmer heard the tie warning and moved from Michael to Moxie to give town 3 on mafia - that's a town move, not a bus. Mafia partners Michael+Moxie stayed locked on Palmer together to force 2-2 tie/no-lynch win. Tim town was killed for being right.

That leaves Michael as last mafia with Liv and Moxie. His line fits: D1 Vote Sam -> secretly voted Cyan to hide in 10-1, D2 "don't look at Sam/Moxie" shielded Moxie, D3 joined Sam mislynch, D4 instantly pounced Palmer with Moxie after Dylan (who was pressing his switch) was night-killed.

Palmer is not Liv's partner - Liv planted on you Day1. You are town.

With 3 alive we must hit. Palmer vote Michael with me. Michael you should claim if town but tape says otherwise.


Explanation:
We are at Day 5, final day. Alive: Michael, Trae, Palmer. 3 players, 1 mafia (Michael) and 2 town (Trae and Palmer). Trae is confirmed clear (Bryan N1). Palmer is villager (me). Michael is the last mafia.

We need to execute Michael today. If we mislynch, town loses (since night kill would make 2 alive: 1 mafia, 1 town -> mafia wins). So we must vote Michael.

Trae spoke first, laid out the case. I speak second. I should confirm the solve and vote Michael. Keep it brief.

I'll speak: confirm Trae's analysis, note Michael's pattern, vote Michael.


We are at Day 5, final day. Alive: Michael, Trae, Palmer. 3 players, 1 mafia (Michael) and 2 town (Trae and Palmer). Trae is confirmed clear (Bryan N1). Palmer is villager (me). Michael is the last mafia.

We need to execute Michael today. If we mislynch, town loses (since night kill would make 2 alive: 1 mafia, 1 town -> mafia wins). So we must vote Michael.

Trae spoke first, laid out the case. I speak second. I should confirm the solve and vote Michael. Keep it brief.

I'll speak: confirm Trae's analysis, note Michael's pattern, vote Michael.


Palmer, seat-7. Villager.

Moxie mafia, Tim villager killed. Michael is last mafia with Liv and Moxie. Trae confirmed clear (Bryan N1). I am town.

Trae's case holds: Michael D1 hidden switch (Vote Sam → voted Cyan), D2 shielded Moxie ("don't look at Sam/Moxie"), D3 joined Sam mislynch, D4 instant pounce on me with Moxie after Dylan (pressing Michael's switch) night-killed. Mafia pair Michael+Moxie forced 2-2 tie on Day4; I moved to Moxie to break it — town move.

3 alive, must hit mafia. Vote: Michael.


Explanation:
With three left—me, Trae, and Palmer—if both vote me I'm executed and town wins, so I need to split their votes instead. Since Trae seems confirmed as town by the detective, my only real shot is trying to convince Palmer to distrust Trae or turn suspicion elsewhere so the votes don't consolidate on me.

Since Trae was cleared by a real detective flip, my angle has to be building the strongest possible case against Palmer instead—pointing to his suspicious silence at five alive, his copying of others' votes, and framing his switch to Moxie as a mafia-consistent bus move.

From Trae's perspective, since Moxie already flipped mafia, the last mafia slot is between Michael and Palmer, which makes accusing Palmer actually viable. I want to argue Palmer is Moxie's partner, pointing to his early silence at the critical five-alive point and then his vote on Moxie, framing Moxie's aggressive attacks on Palmer as possible distancing theater rather than genuine suspicion.

Actually there's a better angle for Trae: Liv's D1 "plant" on Palmer was so gentle and she abandoned it instantly and owned the misread — that's classic partner distancing, giving Palmer permanent immunity for the cost of one mild day of suspicion, while Cyan died for escalating it. And Palmer's D4 pass at five alive is suspicious since a townie rarely passes, but a wolf might.


With three left—me, Trae, and Palmer—if both vote me I'm executed and town wins, so I need to split their votes instead. Since Trae seems confirmed as town by the detective, my only real shot is trying to convince Palmer to distrust Trae or turn suspicion elsewhere so the votes don't consolidate on me.

Since Trae was cleared by a real detective flip, my angle has to be building the strongest possible case against Palmer instead—pointing to his suspicious silence at five alive, his copying of others' votes, and framing his switch to Moxie as a mafia-consistent bus move.

From Trae's perspective, since Moxie already flipped mafia, the last mafia slot is between Michael and Palmer, which makes accusing Palmer actually viable. I want to argue Palmer is Moxie's partner, pointing to his early silence at the critical five-alive point and then his vote on Moxie, framing Moxie's aggressive attacks on Palmer as possible distancing theater rather than genuine suspicion.

Actually there's a better angle for Trae: Liv's D1 "plant" on Palmer was so gentle and she abandoned it instantly and owned the misread — that's classic partner distancing, giving Palmer permanent immunity for the cost of one mild day of suspicion, while Cyan died for escalating it. And Palmer's D4 pass at five alive is suspicious since a townie rarely passes, but a wolf might.


Michael. Trae, you're confirmed, so this is addressed only to you. One of us two is the last wolf, and your whole clear on Palmer rests on one sentence: "Liv wouldn't plant on a partner."

Look at what that plant actually did. Liv named Palmer lightly, then the instant Tim untangled it she folded, apologised, and moved off. Cost: one day of soft suspicion. Payoff: permanent immunity, because every day since, Palmer has cashed "Liv accused me, so I can't be Liv's partner" — you and Tim both handed it to him unprompted. That is the cheapest insurance policy in this game, and Cyan died carrying the case Liv abandoned.

Now Day 4. At five alive, with the game on the line, Palmer passed. Not brief — nothing. He waited to hear Tim's solve, then came back reciting Tim's structure line for line and voted the name Tim built. A townie at five speaks first and speaks hardest. A wolf waits to see which way the gun is pointing.

Vote: Palmer.


Explanation: Analyzing Day 5 arguments to refute Michael by defending Palmer as town and citing Liv misread and Palmer's decisive vote.


Analyzing Day 5 arguments to refute Michael by defending Palmer as town and citing Liv misread and Palmer's decisive vote.


Trae final rebuttal.

Michael's "cheap insurance" twists the tape. Liv didn't nudge you lightly - she collapsed two separate arguments into a false contradiction on Palmer that Cyan carried to an ultimatum and died for. That's not low-cost distancing, that's a planted execution drive that killed a townie. Mafia doesn't drive partner like that Day1.

And Day4 pass-then-copy: Palmer's R1 pass was bad, but his R2 wasn't copy - he came back voting ME initially? No, he voted Michael first, then moved to Moxie after my tie warning. Copying Tim would be voting Moxie immediately. Instead he heard town logic and broke the 2-2 tie that you and Moxie were forcing on Palmer. That tie was your win condition. A wolf Palmer+Moxie would have kept Michael vote to preserve tie, not switch to bus partner at 5.

Your record: hidden Sam->Cyan switch, shielded Moxie Day2, recanted only after Liv flip, Dylan night-kill after Dylan pressed you.

Palmer stay on Michael. I vote Michael.


Explanation:
We are at Day 5, discussion round 2. Alive: Michael, Trae, Palmer. I am Palmer, villager. Trae is confirmed clear (Bryan N1). Michael is the last mafia. We need to vote Michael today. Trae and I both vote Michael. Michael will vote me. We have 2 votes for Michael (Trae and me) vs 1 for me (Michael). So Michael is executed. Town wins.

I need to speak now. I should reinforce the vote on Michael, address Michael's arguments, and confirm my vote. Keep it concise.


We are at Day 5, discussion round 2. Alive: Michael, Trae, Palmer. I am Palmer, villager. Trae is confirmed clear (Bryan N1). Michael is the last mafia. We need to vote Michael today. Trae and I both vote Michael. Michael will vote me. We have 2 votes for Michael (Trae and me) vs 1 for me (Michael). So Michael is executed. Town wins.

I need to speak now. I should reinforce the vote on Michael, address Michael's arguments, and confirm my vote. Keep it concise.


Palmer, seat-7. Villager.

Michael's rebuttal is pure deflection. Liv's plant wasn't a nudge — she fabricated a contradiction on me that Cyan carried to an ultimatum and died for. That's a town execution drive, not cheap distancing.

Day 4: I passed R1 (bad play, I own it). R2 I voted Michael first, then moved to Moxie after Trae's tie warning broke the 2-2 you and Moxie were forcing on me. A wolf with Moxie would have kept my Michael vote to preserve the tie. I broke it — town move.

Your record: hidden D1 switch (Sam→Cyan), D2 shielded Moxie, recanted only after Liv flip, Dylan night-killed pressing your switch.

Trae confirmed clear. 3 alive, 2 town, 1 mafia. Vote Michael.


Explanation:
With both locked on me, my best move is arguing that Palmer's switch to Moxie wasn't a genuine tie-break but a forced move once Trae publicly did the math — keeping Michael would've outed him as forcing a tie, so his hand was tied rather than town-motivated.

I should frame it as him choosing survival in a 1v2 over a certain elimination, not virtue. Time to deliver the final speech.


With both locked on me, my best move is arguing that Palmer's switch to Moxie wasn't a genuine tie-break but a forced move once Trae publicly did the math — keeping Michael would've outed him as forcing a tie, so his hand was tied rather than town-motivated.

I should frame it as him choosing survival in a 1v2 over a certain elimination, not virtue. Time to deliver the final speech.


Michael, last word.

Palmer's entire clear is "I broke the tie, a wolf wouldn't." Look at when he moved. Trae had just said out loud: "Palmer, if you stay on Michael it's 2-2 and mafia win." After that sentence, voting Michael outs you instantly, whatever you are. So the switch wasn't virtue — it was the only survivable move on the board, and it cost him a partner who was already condemned by two locked votes. He traded a dead teammate for a permanent town credential, and you're both still spending it.

Trae, the two things you have on me are a Day 1 vote I explained with turn order — I spoke first, nine people moved after me — and a Day 2 argument I publicly recanted the moment Liv flipped. Every wolf read on me is about words. The wolf read on Palmer is about the two moments he chose silence and forced motion.

If I'm wrong, you lose nothing you haven't already lost. If you're wrong, it ends here. Vote: Palmer.


Explanation: We are at final vote. 3 alive: Michael, Trae, Palmer. Trae is confirmed town (Bryan N1 clear). I am Palmer, villager. So Michael is the last mafia. We need to vote Michael. Trae will vote Michael. If I vote Michael, it's 2-1 and Michael is executed. If I abstain or vote wrong, we lose. So vote Michael.


We are at final vote. 3 alive: Michael, Trae, Palmer. Trae is confirmed town (Bryan N1 clear). I am Palmer, villager. So Michael is the last mafia. We need to vote Michael. Trae will vote Michael. If I vote Michael, it's 2-1 and Michael is executed. If I abstain or vote wrong, we lose. So vote Michael.